Παρασκευή 4 Μαρτίου 2016

Οι επιπτώσεις της μετανάστευσης στους μισθούς: Tεκμήρια από την Βρετανία

Πηγή: www.bankofengland.co.uk/research/Pages/workingpapers/default.aspx

 Τον Δεκέμβριο η Τράπεζα της Αγγλίας εξέδωσε μία έρευνα (http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/research/Documents/workingpapers/2015/swp574.pdf) για τις επιπτώσεις της μετανάστευσης στους μισθούς.

Συμπεραίνει εν κατακλείδι τα κάτωθι:

Once the occupational breakdown is incorporated into a regional analysis of immigration, the immigrant-native ratio has a significant small impact on the average occupational wage rates of that region. Closer examination reveals that the biggest effect is in the semi/unskilled services sector, where a 10 percentage point rise in the proportion of immigrants is associated with a 2 percent reduction in pay.

Τα αναμενόμενα, δηλαδή, βάση της απλής θεώρησης προσφοράς και ζήτησης. Έχουν απόλυτο δίκιο, λοιπόν, οι «λαϊκιστές» που θέλουν να σταματήσουν την εισβολή των Αφροασιατών/Μεξικανών λάθρο. Αυτή πλήττει κυρίως τα μικρομεσαία στρώματα που ούτως ή άλλως πλήττονται από την παγκοσμιοποίηση και την χρηματιστικοποίηση των οικονομιών. Πιο κάτω παραθέτω την περίληψη του 45 σελίδων εγγράφου.



Abstract
This paper asks whether immigration to Britain has had any impact on average wages.  There seems to
be a broad consensus among academics that the share of immigrants in the workforce has little or no effect on native wages
.  These studies typically have not refined their analysis by breaking it down into
different occupational groups.  Our contribution is to extend the existing literature on immigration to
include occupations as well.  We find that the immigrant to native ratio has a small negative impact on
average British wages.  This finding is important for monetary policy makers, who are interested in the
impact that supply shocks, such as immigration, have on average wages and overall inflation.  Our
results also reveal that the biggest impact of immigration on wages is within the semi/unskilled services occupational group.  We also investigate if there is any differential impact between immigration from the EU and non-EU, and find that there is no additional impact on aggregate UK wages as a result of
migrants arriving specifically from EU countries.  These findings accord well with intuition and
anecdotal evidence, but have not been recorded previously in the empirical literature.  

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